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1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 5
1.1 List of Tables 8
1.2 List of Figures 8
2 Introduction 10
2.1 Disease Introduction 10
2.2 Epidemiology 11
2.3 Symptoms 12
2.4 Etiology and Pathophysiology 13
2.4.1 Adenocarcinoma 14
2.4.2 Squamous-Cell Carcinoma 16
2.4.3 Large-Cell Carcinoma 19
2.4.4 Immunotherapy 20
2.5 Diagnosis 20
2.6 Prognosis 23
2.7 Treatment Guidelines and Options 23
2.7.1 Treatment Algorithm 24
2.7.2 First-Line Treatment 25
2.7.3 Maintenance Therapy 26
2.7.4 Second-Line Treatment 27
2.7.5 Third-Line Therapy 28
2.7.6 Adjuvant Therapy 29
3 Marketed Products 30
3.1 Overview 30
3.2 Chemotherapies 30
3.2.1 Alimta (pemetrexed) - Eli Lilly 30
3.2.2 Abraxane (paclitaxel) - Celgene 31
3.3 Tarceva (erlotinib) - Roche 32
3.4 Iressa (gefitinib) - AstraZeneca 33
3.5 Gilotrif (afatinib) - Boehringer Ingelheim 34
3.6 Xalkori (crizotinib) - Pfizer 35
3.7 Avastin (bevacizumab) - Roche 36
3.8 Opdivo (nivolumab) - Bristol-Myers Squibb 37
3.9 Alecensa (alectinib) - Roche 38
3.10 Conclusion 39
3.11 Comparative Efficacy and Safety of Marketed Products 40
4 Pipeline Analysis 44
4.1 Overview 44
4.2 Pipeline by Stage of Development, Molecule Type, Route of Administration and Program Type 45
4.3 Pipeline by Molecular Target 46
4.4 Promising Pipeline Candidates 49
4.4.1 Ipilimumab - Bristol-Myers Squibb 49
4.4.2 Custirsen - OncoGenex 51
4.4.3 Atezolizumab - Roche 52
4.4.4 Necitumumab - Eli Lilly 54
4.4.5 Rociletinib - Clovis 55
4.4.6 Vaxira - Recombio 57
4.4.7 Keytruda - Merck 58
4.4.8 TG4010 - Transgene 60
4.4.9 Veliparib - AbbVie 61
4.4.10 Abemaciclib - Eli Lilly 63
4.4.11 Bavituximab - Peregrine Pharmaceuticals 64
4.4.12 Cyramza (Ramucirumab) - Eli Lilly 65
4.4.13 Zykadia (ceritinib/LDK378) - Novartis 67
4.4.14 Tagrisso (osimertinib/AZD-9291) - AstraZeneca 68
4.4.15 Dacomitinib - Pfizer 70
4.4.16 Selumetinib - AstraZeneca 71
4.5 Comparative Efficacy and Safety of Pipeline Products 72
4.6 Product Competitiveness Framework 73
5 Clinical Trial Analysis 75
5.1 Failure Rate 75
5.1.1 Overall Failure Rate 75
5.1.2 Failure Rate by Phase and Molecule Type 75
5.1.3 Failure Rate by Phase and Molecular Target 76
5.2 Clinical Trial Size 77
5.2.1 Patient Enrollment per Product by Molecule Type and Stage of Development 78
5.2.2 Patient Enrollment per Product by Molecular Target and Stage of Development 78
5.2.3 Patient Enrollment per Trial by Molecule Type and Stage of Development 79
5.2.4 Patient Enrollment per Trial by Molecular Target and Stage of Development 80
5.3 Clinical Trial Duration 81
5.3.1 Trial Duration by Molecule Type and Stage of Development 82
5.3.2 Trial Duration by Molecular Target and Stage of Development 82
5.4 Summary of Clinical Trial Metrics 83
6 Multi-scenario Forecast 85
6.1 Overview 85
6.2 Asia-Pacific Market 85
6.3 India 87
6.3.1 Treatment Usage Patterns 87
6.3.2 Annual Cost of Therapy 88
6.3.3 Market Size 89
6.4 China 90
6.4.1 Treatment Usage Patterns 90
6.4.2 Annual Cost of Therapy 91
6.4.3 Market Size 92
6.5 Australia 93
6.5.1 Treatment Usage Patterns 93
6.5.2 Annual Cost of Therapy 93
6.5.3 Market Size 94
6.6 South Korea 95
6.6.1 Treatment Usage Patterns 95
6.6.2 Annual Cost of Therapy 96
6.6.3 Market Size 97
6.7 Japan 98
6.7.1 Treatment Usage Patterns 98
6.7.2 Annual Cost of Therapy 99
6.7.3 Market Size 99
7 Market Dynamics (Drivers and Barriers) 101
7.1 Drivers 101
7.1.1 Increasing pollution and passive smoking to drive the incidence 101
7.1.2 Increasing Elderly Population and Incidence of NSCLC 101
7.1.3 The Availability of Novel First- and Second-Line Therapy Options in Pipeline 101
7.1.4 Increase in Mutation Testing to Drive Market Growth 101
7.1.5 Diversified Healthcare Reform to Boost Market Growth 102
7.1.6 Diversified Health Insurance System to Help Nurture Growth 102
7.2 Barriers 102
7.2.1 Patent Expiration of Branded Therapies to Affect NSCLC Market Growth 102
7.2.2 High Prices of Therapeutics to Slow Down Market Growth 102
7.2.3 Lack of Reimbursement and Penetration of Generic Drugs to Hinder Market Growth in China and India 103
8 Deals and Strategic Consolidations 104
8.1 Co-development Deals 104
8.1.1 Key Co-development Deals 106
8.2 Licensing Deals 107
8.2.1 Key Licensing Deals 111
9 Appendix 113
9.1 All Pipeline Drugs by Stage of Development 113
9.1.1 Discovery 113
9.1.2 Preclinical 114
9.1.3 Investigational New Drug/ Clinical Trial Authorization-filed 118
9.1.4 Phase I 119
9.1.5 Phase II 123
9.1.6 Phase III 128
9.1.7 Pre-registration 130
9.2 Summary of Multi-scenario Market Forecasts to 2022 130
9.2.1 Asia-Pacific 130
9.2.2 India 131
9.2.3 China 131
9.2.4 Australia 131
9.2.5 South Korea 132
9.2.6 Japan 132
9.3 References 132
9.4 Abbreviations 138
9.5 Research Methodology 140
9.5.1 Secondary Research 140
9.5.2 Marketed Product Profiles 141
9.5.3 Late-Stage Pipeline Candidates 141
9.5.4 Comparative Efficacy and Safety Heat Map for Marketed and Pipeline Products 141
9.5.5 Product Competitiveness Framework 141
9.5.6 Pipeline Analysis 142
9.5.7 Forecasting Model 143
9.5.8 Deals Data Analysis 144
9.6 Contact Us 144
9.7 Disclaimer 144
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Tumor Node Metastasis Classification 22
Table 2: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Eastern Co-operative Oncology Group Criteria 23
Table 3: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Treatment Options 24
Table 4: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Discovery, 2015 113
Table 5: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Preclinical, 2015 114
Table 6: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, IND/CTA-filed, 2015 118
Table 7: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Phase I, 2015 119
Table 8: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Phase II, 2015 123
Table 9: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Phase III, 2015 128
Table 10: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, All Pipeline Products, Pre-registration Phase, 2015 130
Table 11: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 130
Table 12: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, India, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 131
Table 13: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, China, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 131
Table 14: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Australia, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 131
Table 15: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, South Korea, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 132
Table 16: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Japan, Market Forecast, 2015-2022 132
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Australia, Age-Specific Incidence Rate (100,000), 2000-2012 12
Figure 2: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, Molecular Characteristic Frequency (%) 13
Figure 3: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Market Heatmap, First-Line Products 41
Figure 4: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Market Heatmap, Maintenance Products 42
Figure 5: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Market Heatmap, Second-Line Products 43
Figure 6: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, Pipeline, 2015 46
Figure 7: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Global, Pipeline by Molecular Target, 2015 48
Figure 8: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Pipeline by Molecular Target and Stage of Development 49
Figure 9: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Ipilimumab Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 51
Figure 10: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Custirsen Forecast ($m), 2019-2022 52
Figure 11: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Atezolizumab Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 54
Figure 12: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Necitumumab Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 55
Figure 13: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Rociletinib Forecast ($m), 2018-2022 57
Figure 14: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Vaxira Forecast ($m), 2019-2022 58
Figure 15: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Keytruda Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 60
Figure 16: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, TG4010 Forecast ($m), 2021-2022 61
Figure 17: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Veliparib Forecast ($m), 2019-2022 62
Figure 18: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Abemaciclib Forecast ($m), 2019-2022 64
Figure 19: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Bavituximab Forecast ($m), 2019-2022 65
Figure 20: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Cyramza Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 67
Figure 21: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Zykadia Forecast ($m), 2017-2022 68
Figure 22: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Tagrisso Forecast ($m), 2016-2022 70
Figure 23: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Pipeline Heatmap, First-Line Products 72
Figure 24: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Pipeline Heatmap, Second-Line Products 73
Figure 25: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Marketed and Pipeline Product Competitiveness Framework 74
Figure 26: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Attrition Rates (%) 75
Figure 27: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Attrition Rates by Molecule Type (%) 76
Figure 28: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Attrition Rates by Molecular Target (%) 77
Figure 29: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Size per Product by Molecule Type (participants) 78
Figure 30: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Size per Product Molecular Target (participants) 79
Figure 31: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Size per Individual Trial by Molecule Type (participants) 80
Figure 32: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Size per Individual Trial by Molecular Target (participants) 81
Figure 33: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Duration by Molecule Type (months) 82
Figure 34: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Clinical Trial Duration by Molecular Target (months) 83
Figure 35: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Comparison of Average Trial Metrics by Phase and Molecule Type 83
Figure 36: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Comparison of Average Trial Metrics by Phase and Molecular Target 84
Figure 37: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 86
Figure 38: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, APAC, Market Size ($bn), 2015-2022 87
Figure 39: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, India, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 88
Figure 40: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, India, Annual Cost of Therapy ($), 2015-2022 89
Figure 41: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, India, Market Size ($m), 2015-2022 89
Figure 42: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, China, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 91
Figure 43: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, China, Annual Cost of Therapy ($), 2015-2022 92
Figure 44: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, China, Market Size ($bn), 2015-2022 92
Figure 45: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Australia, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 93
Figure 46: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Australia, Annual Cost of Therapy ($), 2015-2022 94
Figure 47: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Australia, Market Size ($m), 2015-2022 95
Figure 48: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, South Korea, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 96
Figure 49: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, South Korea, Annual Cost of Therapy ($), 2015-2022 97
Figure 50: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, South Korea, Market Size ($m), 2015-2022 97
Figure 51: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Japan, Treatment Patterns (‘000), 2015-2022 98
Figure 52: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Japan, Annual Cost of Therapy ($), 2015-2022 99
Figure 53: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Japan, Market Size ($bn), 2015-2022 100
Figure 54: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Co-development Deals by Territory, 2006-2015 104
Figure 55: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Co-development Deals Overview, 2006-2015 105
Figure 56: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Co-development by Molecule Type, 2006-2015 105
Figure 57: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Co-development by Molecular Target, 2006-2015 106
Figure 58: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Licensing Deals by Territory, 2006-2015 108
Figure 59: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Licensing Deals Overview, 2006-2015 109
Figure 60: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Licensing Deals by Molecule Type, 2006-2015 110
Figure 61: NSCLC Therapeutics Market, Licensing Deals by Molecular Target, 2006-2015 110